Purchasing a house right now? Makes lots of sense

At times of inflation & rising rates, a mortgage allows to lock-in a relatively good price. Then, houses able to index rent to inflation ...

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riccardo

- Dec 1, 2022
- 8 min

Purchasing a house right now? Makes lots of sense

At times of inflation & rising rates, a mortgage allows to lock-in a relatively good price. Then, houses able to index rent to inflation ...

riccardo

- Jun 22, 2022
- 1 min

eV - Data Relationship Platform

Showcasing the result obtainable with our machine learning webApp able to return the relationships driving users data and their outcomes ...

riccardo

- May 7, 2022
- 10 min

Here is how an R-Learning agent beats humans

Impressive performance of this R-learning agent powered by 2 hidden neural networks collaborating and self-formulating optimal rules ...

riccardo

- Apr 13, 2022
- 10 min

R-Learning AI self-taking over processes

From supply chain to energy management: how Reinforcement Learning extracts “optimal” decisions through simple interaction ...

riccardo

- Jul 22, 2021
- 12 min

Machine Learning is about Change of Space rather than Higher Dimension

Intuition on the math of image recognition, convolution, word embeddings, change of space ... machine learning

riccardo

- May 1, 2021
- 7 min

Game Theory in my Behavioral Finance failure

Fixing our zero-sum bias can immediately improve our negotiations, and in general, our results. This is a critical life-algorithm

riccardo

- Mar 11, 2021
- 13 min

Mechanical Occam s chaos Lorenz butterfly

The math and simulation of chaos, why predicting the weather and climate changes is tough, and more ...

riccardo

- Oct 4, 2020
- 7 min

Testing and polling sampled population

Say we have a population of N individuals and we know that among that pool there is an unknown number of positives ...

riccardo

- Aug 21, 2020
- 5 min

Reversion to the mean? Still tough to profit from it

Events will probably revert to the mean, but making decisions on that idea would probably ruin us. Here are 3 practical tips ...

riccardo

- Jun 18, 2020
- 6 min

My Reinforcement Learning options trader

Reinforcement Learning applied to financial markets and options trading. Letting an agent place trades and experience rewards ...

riccardo

- Oct 6, 2019
- 5 min

Assuming our initial assumptions are wrong is usually correct

Part 1 of the series Make Better Decisions Through Probability & Statistics. As per the intro-post of the series, this post will focus on:...

riccardo

- Sep 29, 2019
- 3 min

Make better decisions through Probability & Statistics _ intro

#decisionmaking #probabilityandstatistics # foodforthought I am an engineer, I transitioned from mechanical engineering to financial...

riccardo

- Feb 27, 2019
- 3 min

Managers are on AVERAGE wrong about AVERAGES

While many professionals often describe numbers like sales and costs through some Pareto characteristics – few customers or factors, say...

riccardo

- Dec 19, 2018
- 5 min

The illusion of control _ Central limit theorem

#decisionMaking #intuition #management #strategies Sometimes, the simpler the tool, the harder it is to master it. In management,...

riccardo

- Oct 24, 2018
- 3 min

The most overlooked number in corporate M&A

#acquisitions #MandA #corporateStrategy #strategy #consulting Corporate M&A often fails to deliver the value identified during the...

riccardo

- Aug 30, 2018
- 4 min

Decision making through intuition_3/3_Exponential distribution

Often we complicate easy decisions with assumptions that do not really affect our systems. “Easy decision” does not necessarily mean that...

riccardo

- Aug 22, 2018
- 3 min

Decision making through intuition_2/3_Normal distribution

In the previous post we discussed the Power-Law distribution and how the enduro rider ( Graham Jarvis ) waited only the average time...

riccardo

- Aug 16, 2018
- 5 min

Decision making through intuition_1/3_Power Law distribution

We often try to calculate exact numbers without realizing that they seldom constitute actionable information once we consider their...

riccardo

- Aug 1, 2018
- 3 min

Life hacking _ choose before exploring 50% of the options

Imagine we just moved to a new city and we are looking for an apartment to rent. We schedule 10 appointments and we know that at each...

riccardo

- May 16, 2018
- 2 min

Optimization is about ranges rather than exact numbers

In business, we are always looking for optimization allowing us to save costs and boost margins. Optimization is often easy to find on...

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